College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Jaxson Dart. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Murray | Georgia | 2014 | 0.855 | unknown | Aaron Murray | — | — | — |
| Hendon Hooker | Tennessee | 2023 | 0.644 | unknown | Hendon Hooker | 3 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Taulia Tagovailoa | Maryland | 2024 | 0.626 | unknown | Taulia Tagovailoa | — | — | — |
| Spencer Sanders | Oklahoma State | 2023 | 0.614 | unknown | Spencer Sanders | — | — | — |
| Joshua Dobbs | Tennessee | 2017 | 0.591 | starter | Joshua Dobbs | 257 | 13.8 | 6 |
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2024 | 0.562 | unknown | Jordan Travis | — | — | — |
| Philip Rivers | North Carolina State | 2004 | 0.547 | starter | Philip Rivers | 3845 | 17.9 | 18 |
| Haynes King | Colorado | 2026 | 0.542 | unknown | Haynes King | — | — | — |
| Spencer Rattler | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.536 | unknown | Spencer Rattler | 166 | 10.3 | 2 |
| Russell Wilson | Wisconsin | 2012 | 0.515 | elite | Russell Wilson | 3765 | 21.7 | 14 |
| Kellen Mond | Texas A&M | 2021 | 0.497 | unknown | Kellen Mond | 0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Matt Barkley | USC | 2013 | 0.494 | unknown | Matt Barkley | 106 | 10.1 | 7 |
| D'Eriq King | Miami | 2021 | 0.488 | unknown | D'Eriq King | — | — | — |
| Pat White | West Virginia | 2009 | 0.484 | unknown | Pat White | 8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Justin Herbert | Oregon | 2020 | 0.479 | elite | Justin Herbert | 1801 | 20.9 | 6 |
| Drew Lock | Missouri | 2019 | 0.466 | starter | Drew Lock | 411 | 13.0 | 6 |
| Dorian Thompson-Robinson | UCLA | 2023 | 0.466 | unknown | Dorian Thompson-Robinson | 38 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Trevor Knight | Texas A&M | 2017 | 0.462 | unknown | Trevor Knight | — | — | — |
| Will Howard | Ohio State | 2025 | 0.448 | unknown | Will Howard | — | — | — |
| Manny Wilkins | Arizona State | 2019 | 0.445 | unknown | Manny Wilkins | — | — | — |
| Eric Dungey | Syracuse | 2019 | 0.441 | unknown | Eric Dungey | — | — | — |
| J.T. Barrett | Ohio State | 2018 | 0.440 | unknown | J.T. Barrett | — | — | — |
| Riley Leonard | Notre Dame | 2025 | 0.437 | unknown | Riley Leonard | 31 | 6.2 | 1 |
| KJ Jefferson | UCF | 2025 | 0.437 | unknown | KJ Jefferson | — | — | — |
| Dillon Gabriel | Oregon | 2025 | 0.432 | unknown | Dillon Gabriel | 70 | 7.0 | 1 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.