College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Tyler Shough. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thorne | Auburn | 2025 | 0.618 | unknown | Payton Thorne | — | — | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. | Boise State | 2024 | 0.519 | unknown | Michael Penix Jr. | 164 | 11.1 | 2 |
| Jalon Daniels | Kansas | 2026 | 0.501 | unknown | Jalon Daniels | — | — | — |
| Charlie Brewer | Baylor | 2021 | 0.491 | unknown | Charlie Brewer | — | — | — |
| Tommy Armstrong Jr. | Nebraska | 2017 | 0.476 | unknown | Tommy Armstrong Jr. | — | — | — |
| Landry Jones | Oklahoma | 2013 | 0.476 | bust | Landry Jones | 64 | 3.6 | 3 |
| B.J. Daniels | South Florida | 2013 | 0.475 | unknown | B.J. Daniels | — | — | — |
| Max Duggan | TCU | 2023 | 0.465 | unknown | Max Duggan | — | — | — |
| Sean Clifford | Penn State | 2023 | 0.464 | unknown | Sean Clifford | 1 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Sefo Liufau | Colorado | 2017 | 0.459 | unknown | Sefo Liufau | — | — | — |
| Garrett Shrader | Syracuse | 2024 | 0.458 | unknown | Garrett Shrader | — | — | — |
| Kedon Slovis | BYU | 2024 | 0.457 | unknown | Kedon Slovis | -0 | -0.0 | 1 |
| Will Howard | Ohio State | 2025 | 0.443 | unknown | Will Howard | — | — | — |
| Justin Herbert | Oregon | 2020 | 0.442 | elite | Justin Herbert | 1801 | 20.9 | 6 |
| Kenny Pickett | Pittsburgh | 2022 | 0.441 | unknown | Kenny Pickett | 293 | 8.6 | 4 |
| Jake Locker | Washington | 2011 | 0.440 | starter | Jake Locker | 345 | 12.0 | 4 |
| Kellen Mond | Texas A&M | 2021 | 0.437 | unknown | Kellen Mond | 0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Taylen Green | Arkansas | 2026 | 0.432 | unknown | Taylen Green | — | — | — |
| Nathan Scheelhaase | Illinois | 2014 | 0.430 | unknown | Nathan Scheelhaase | — | — | — |
| Spencer Rattler | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.419 | unknown | Spencer Rattler | 166 | 10.3 | 2 |
| Matt Barkley | USC | 2013 | 0.419 | unknown | Matt Barkley | 106 | 10.1 | 7 |
| Peyton Ramsey | Northwestern | 2021 | 0.412 | unknown | Peyton Ramsey | — | — | — |
| Clayton Thorson | Northwestern | 2019 | 0.411 | unknown | Clayton Thorson | — | — | — |
| Diego Pavia | Vanderbilt | 2026 | 0.410 | unknown | Diego Pavia | — | — | — |
| Jay Cutler | Vanderbilt | 2006 | 0.404 | starter | Jay Cutler | 2165 | 16.6 | 12 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.