Kings of Dynasty

Fantasy Football · Updated June 13, 2026 at 12:28 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh · Class of 2022 · Model rank #14 (pos #14)
1681
Projected career fp
9.3
Projected peak3 fp/g
5.4
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
14
Comps w/ NFL data
← back to Prospect Rankings
🏈 NFL Draft 2022: Round 1, Pick #20 — PIT
KTC consensus. SF rank 425 (pos #62) — model delta ↑↑ +411. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.25_pick_tier_baseline_R1”). With 3 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.25; we blend the comp-only projection (125) with the pick-tier baseline (2,200).

Projection Inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 16.72Final season fp/g: 24.59Peak season fp/g: 24.59Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 Comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Kenny Pickett. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Payton ThorneAuburn20250.592unknownPayton Thorne
Nate SudfeldIndiana20160.494bustNate Sudfeld103.24
Tyrod TaylorVirginia Tech20110.471starterTyrod Taylor110717.415
Brian BrohmLouisville20080.463unknownBrian Brohm-2-1.52
David BloughPurdue20190.461unknownDavid Blough767.44
Diego PaviaVanderbilt20260.448unknownDiego Pavia
Riley LeonardNotre Dame20250.443unknownRiley Leonard316.21
Tyler ShoughLouisville20250.441starterTyler Shough15814.41
Brett BasanezNorthwestern20060.438unknownBrett Basanez00.41
Kyle OrtonPurdue20050.438starterKyle Orton100714.89
B.J. DanielsSouth Florida20130.420unknownB.J. Daniels
Tommy Armstrong Jr.Nebraska20170.419unknownTommy Armstrong Jr.
Nathan ScheelhaaseIllinois20140.411unknownNathan Scheelhaase
Andrew WalterArizona State20050.409bustAndrew Walter442.23
Alex BrinkWashington State20080.409unknownAlex Brink
Jalon DanielsKansas20260.407unknownJalon Daniels
Anthony BrownOregon20220.403unknownAnthony Brown62.81
Taylen GreenArkansas20260.402unknownTaylen Green
Kedon SlovisBYU20240.399unknownKedon Slovis-0-0.01
Travis WilsonUtah20160.397unknownTravis Wilson
Jake LutonOregon State20200.396unknownJake Luton289.41
Drew LockMissouri20190.395starterDrew Lock41113.06
Michael Penix Jr.Boise State20240.390unknownMichael Penix Jr.16411.12
Drew OlsonUCLA20060.386unknownDrew Olson
Sefo LiufauColorado20170.384unknownSefo Liufau

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.