College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Josh Downs. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | Ohio State | 2024 | 0.585 | unknown | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 324 | 11.1 | 2 |
| Jonathan Giles | Texas Tech | 2017 | 0.478 | unknown | Jonathan Giles | — | — | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Ohio State | 2022 | 0.415 | starter | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 763 | 15.0 | 3 |
| Dwayne Jarrett | USC | 2007 | 0.403 | bust | Dwayne Jarrett | 85 | 3.5 | 4 |
| Reggie Williams | Washington | 2004 | 0.399 | unknown | Reggie Williams | 533 | 8.9 | 5 |
| Antoine Wesley | Texas Tech | 2019 | 0.383 | unknown | Antoine Wesley | 58 | 7.2 | 1 |
| Eric Ward | Texas Tech | 2014 | 0.371 | unknown | Eric Ward | — | — | — |
| Sammy Watkins | Clemson | 2014 | 0.370 | starter | Sammy Watkins | 1104 | 13.6 | 9 |
| James Hardy | Indiana | 2008 | 0.359 | unknown | James Hardy | 32 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Percy Harvin | Florida | 2009 | 0.356 | starter | Percy Harvin | 1036 | 16.8 | 8 |
| Juron Criner | Arizona | 2012 | 0.349 | unknown | Juron Criner | 45 | 5.3 | 2 |
| Michael Campanaro | Wake Forest | 2014 | 0.344 | bust | Michael Campanaro | 99 | 4.6 | 4 |
| A.J. Green | Georgia | 2011 | 0.340 | elite | A.J. Green | 2196 | 18.8 | 11 |
| Tetairoa Mcmillan | Arizona | 2025 | 0.339 | starter | Tetairoa McMillan | 213 | 12.6 | 1 |
| Tyler Lockett | Kansas State | 2015 | 0.338 | starter | Tyler Lockett | 2010 | 15.5 | 11 |
| Sage Surratt | Wake Forest | 2020 | 0.331 | unknown | Sage Surratt | — | — | — |
| Troy Franklin | Oregon | 2024 | 0.329 | unknown | Troy Franklin | 244 | 7.3 | 2 |
| Mike Hass | Oregon State | 2006 | 0.328 | unknown | Mike Hass | — | — | — |
| Marquess Wilson | Washington State | 2013 | 0.326 | unknown | Marquess Wilson | 152 | 7.6 | 4 |
| Dezmon Briscoe | Kansas | 2010 | 0.326 | unknown | Dezmon Briscoe | 135 | 6.5 | 3 |
| James Newson | Oregon State | 2004 | 0.325 | unknown | James Newson | — | — | — |
| Markus Wheaton | Oregon State | 2013 | 0.322 | unknown | Markus Wheaton | 320 | 7.8 | 5 |
| Keenan Allen | California | 2013 | 0.318 | elite | Keenan Allen | 2687 | 19.8 | 13 |
| Bobby Wade | Arizona | 2003 | 0.308 | unknown | Bobby Wade | 595 | 7.9 | 7 |
| Travis Hunter | Colorado | 2025 | 0.300 | unknown | Travis Hunter | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.