College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Arch Manning. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Krenzel | Ohio State | 2004 | 0.955 | unknown | Craig Krenzel | 23 | 3.8 | 1 |
| Greg McElroy | Alabama | 2011 | 0.954 | unknown | Greg McElroy | 12 | 5.8 | 1 |
| Stephen Johnson | Kentucky | 2018 | 0.873 | unknown | Stephen Johnson | — | — | — |
| MJ Morris | NC State | 2024 | 0.837 | unknown | MJ Morris | — | — | — |
| Greg Zolman | Vanderbilt | 2002 | 0.802 | unknown | Greg Zolman | — | — | — |
| Vad Lee | Georgia Tech | 2014 | 0.788 | unknown | Vad Lee | — | — | — |
| Dylan Raiola | Nebraska | 2026 | 0.784 | unknown | Dylan Raiola | — | — | — |
| Zac Taylor | Nebraska | 2007 | 0.775 | unknown | Zac Taylor | — | — | — |
| Marques Hagans | Virginia | 2006 | 0.745 | unknown | Marques Hagans | — | — | — |
| Nico Iamaleava | UCLA | 2026 | 0.690 | unknown | Nico Iamaleava | — | — | — |
| Jeff Krohn | Arizona State | 2002 | 0.688 | unknown | Jeff Krohn | — | — | — |
| Jordan Rodgers | Vanderbilt | 2013 | 0.681 | unknown | Jordan Rodgers | — | — | — |
| CJ Bailey | NC State | 2026 | 0.680 | unknown | CJ Bailey | — | — | — |
| Zach Mettenberger | LSU | 2014 | 0.670 | unknown | Zach Mettenberger | 113 | 8.1 | 2 |
| Matt Mauck | LSU | 2004 | 0.668 | unknown | Matt Mauck | 5 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Austin Allen | Arkansas | 2018 | 0.651 | unknown | Austin Allen | — | — | — |
| Perry Hills | Maryland | 2017 | 0.638 | unknown | Perry Hills | — | — | — |
| Brian St. Pierre | Boston College | 2003 | 0.632 | bust | Brian St. Pierre | 9 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Hutson Mason | Georgia | 2015 | 0.625 | unknown | Hutson Mason | — | — | — |
| Carson Coffman | Kansas State | 2011 | 0.610 | unknown | Carson Coffman | — | — | — |
| Jevan Snead | Ole Miss | 2010 | 0.605 | unknown | Jevan Snead | — | — | — |
| Brock Berlin | Miami (FL) | 2005 | 0.584 | unknown | Brock Berlin | 1 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Tyrone Swoopes | Texas | 2016 | 0.575 | unknown | Tyrone Swoopes | 5 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Darian Mensah | Duke | 2026 | 0.566 | unknown | Darian Mensah | — | — | — |
| Richard Lagow | Indiana | 2018 | 0.562 | unknown | Richard Lagow | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.