College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Alec Pierce. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamdyn Benjamin | Tulsa | 2025 | 0.869 | unknown | Kamdyn Benjamin | — | — | — |
| Duece Watts | Tulane | 2023 | 0.830 | unknown | Duece Watts | — | — | — |
| Ron'quavion Tarver | Utah State | 2019 | 0.810 | unknown | Ron'quavion Tarver | — | — | — |
| Reginald Virgil | Texas Tech | 2026 | 0.771 | unknown | Reginald Virgil | — | — | — |
| Jakarius Caston | Southern Miss | 2024 | 0.734 | unknown | Jakarius Caston | — | — | — |
| Christan Horn | App State | 2024 | 0.731 | unknown | Christan Horn | — | — | — |
| Javon Harvey | Old Dominion | 2024 | 0.709 | unknown | Javon Harvey | — | — | — |
| Keith Corbin | Houston | 2021 | 0.682 | unknown | Keith Corbin | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Williams | Coastal Carolina | 2019 | 0.677 | unknown | Malcolm Williams | — | — | — |
| Shae Wyatt | Tulane | 2023 | 0.659 | unknown | Shae Wyatt | — | — | — |
| Tyrone Howell | UL Monroe | 2024 | 0.652 | unknown | Tyrone Howell | — | — | — |
| Austin Trammell | Army | 2020 | 0.637 | bust | Austin Trammell | 24 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Tre Nixon | UCF | 2020 | 0.624 | unknown | Tre Nixon | — | — | — |
| A.J. Richardson | Boise State | 2019 | 0.621 | unknown | A.J. Richardson | — | — | — |
| Cade Harris | Air Force | 2026 | 0.599 | unknown | Cade Harris | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Keys III | Tulane | 2024 | 0.583 | unknown | Lawrence Keys III | — | — | — |
| Jahcour Pearson | Ole Miss | 2022 | 0.583 | unknown | Jahcour Pearson | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Neyor | Nebraska | 2025 | 0.582 | unknown | Isaiah Neyor | — | — | — |
| Jacoby Jones | UCF | 2025 | 0.568 | unknown | Jacoby Jones | 4 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Justin McInnis | Arkansas State | 2019 | 0.555 | unknown | Justin McInnis | — | — | — |
| Anthony Smith | East Carolina | 2026 | 0.550 | unknown | Anthony Smith | — | — | — |
| Javon Antonio | Colorado | 2024 | 0.534 | unknown | Javon Antonio | — | — | — |
| Khalil McClain | Troy | 2021 | 0.532 | unknown | Khalil McClain | — | — | — |
| Markis McCray | UL Monroe | 2020 | 0.516 | unknown | Markis McCray | — | — | — |
| Omari Kelly | Michigan State | 2026 | 0.508 | unknown | Omari Kelly | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.